American odds. Boxed = best price for that side among books read in the last 45 minutes and on the most common line. “via” marks a price relayed by a third party rather than read from the sportsbook itself.
Price to buy now as American odds, with the implied chance (middle of the bid and offer) under it, before venue fees.
A market without a two-sided, tight order book shows a dash rather than a price.
Moneyline after fees
Fair chance from Pinnacle's moneyline with the margin (2.9%) removed, read :
TB 54.2%, BUF 45.8%.
Cost of $1 of payout, fees included
To win
Best book
Polymarket
Kalshi
Tampa Bay Lightninglowest: BetRivers (PA)
55.2¢-124
57.3¢ask 56¢
56.7¢ask 55¢
Buffalo Sabreslowest: Polymarket
47.2¢+112
46.3¢ask 45¢
47.7¢ask 46¢
Against the fair chance (points per $1 of payout, after fees)
To win
Polymarket
Kalshi
Buffalo Sabresfair 45.8%, Pinnacle +112
−0.4cost 46.3¢
−1.9cost 47.7¢
Tampa Bay Lightningfair 54.2%, Pinnacle -126
−3.1cost 57.3¢
−2.6cost 56.7¢
Buffalo Sabres on Polymarket at 45¢ with Tampa Bay Lightning on BetRivers (PA) at -124:
gap before fees −0.3 points. After both venues' fees (1.27 points) that is −1.52 points per $1 of payout: nothing is left.
Buffalo Sabres on Polymarket at 45¢ with Tampa Bay Lightning on Kalshi at 55¢:
gap before fees 0.0 points. After both venues' fees (3.01 points) that is −3.01 points per $1 of payout: nothing is left.
A sportsbook price costs 1 ÷ decimal odds per $1 of payout; a prediction-market price is the ask plus that venue's fee. How the fee-aware comparison works.
Line movement
Moneyline, to
How the moneyline moved
Source
TB
BUF
Pinnacle last change
-127to-126
+113to+112
BetRivers (PA) last change
-125to-124
+105to+104
BetRivers (NJ) last change
-125to-124
+105to+104
Unibet (NJ) via Action Network · last change
-128
+102to+108
DraftKings (NJ) via Action Network · last change
-125to-130
+105to+110
FanDuel (NJ) via Action Network · last change
-126to-128
+105to+106
BetMGM (NJ) via Action Network · last change
-125to-130
+105
Caesars (NJ) via Action Network · last change
-122to-125
+104to+105
bet365 (NJ) via Action Network · last change
-126to-128
+106to+108
Polymarket last change
54%to56%
47%to45%
Kalshi last change
55%
47%to46%
First stored price to latest stored price before the start, from this site's own snapshots (46 stored price points). The first
stored price is not necessarily the opening line. Sportsbooks in American odds; Polymarket and Kalshi as implied chance.