On Saturday, October 18, 2025, at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, UFC Fight Night 262 will feature a pivotal lightweight clash between Canadian contenderKyle Nelson and American power-puncherMatt Frevola. Nelson enters the bout on a three-fight winning streak since dropping to lightweight, including a dominant TKO over Josh Quinlan and a decision win over veteran Mike Davis. His transition from featherweight has been seamless, with improved wrestling defense and sharper striking timing. Meanwhile, Frevola, known as “The SteamRolla,” comes in with a 1-4 record in his last five fights, suffering back-to-back first-round knockout losses to Benoît Saint Denis and Farès Ziam. Despite his recent struggles, Frevola’s power remains undeniable—he’s finished six opponents by KO/TKO in the UFC, including a devastating first-round stoppage of Drew Dober in 2023. Both fighters are outside the top 15, making this a critical opportunity for either to re-enter the lightweight title picture.

Historically, this is their first meeting, but the stylistic contrast is electric. Nelson, a technical striker with solid grappling roots, will look to control distance and counter Frevola’s aggressive, looping hooks. Frevola, on the other hand, thrives in close quarters and will aim to close the gap early and unleash his heavy hands before Nelson can establish his rhythm. Nelson has openly stated he expects to “put Frevola down again,” referencing the American’s vulnerability to counter-striking—a pattern seen in his losses to Ziam and Saint Denis. Frevola’s recent training camp reportedly focused on footwork and defensive head movement, suggesting he’s aware of the threat. Neither fighter has a significant injury concern, and there are no coaching changes reported. With neither man having a clear path to a title shot, this bout carries playoff implications for the division’s next tier of contenders.

What to watch: Nelson’s ability to manage the range and avoid Frevola’s power shots will dictate the pace. If Frevola can land early and force Nelson to engage in a brawl, he has a clear path to a knockout. But if Nelson can use his superior footwork and timing to pick him apart from the outside, he could turn this into a masterclass in counter-striking. The crowd in Vancouver will be heavily pro-Nelson, but Frevola’s experience in high-pressure environments—having fought in seven UFC main events—could be the difference. This isn’t just a fight for momentum; it’s a statement bout for the future of the UFC lightweight division. Expect a dynamic, high-stakes battle with a finish likely before the final bell.

Team	Best Odds
Matt Frevola	-115 BetMGM	-115	-120	-121	-119	-120	-120	-117	-125	-125	-122	-120	-117	-122	-124	-120	-121	-120
Draw	+4900 1xBet	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	+4900	-	-	-	-
Kyle Nelson	+106 Pinnacle	-105	+100	-103	-106	+100	-105	-103	+105	+105	+100	+100	+105	-102	+106	+105	-103	+100

Matt Frevola @ Kyle Nelson Odds

Matt Frevola

Kyle Nelson

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